Contrary ResearchContrary Research
Contrary ResearchContrary Research
CompaniesReportsTopicsAbout
Subscribe
Report/
Contrary ResearchContrary Research

Powered by

Contrary

Discover

  • Companies
  • Reports
  • Topics
  • About

Connect

  • Email
  • LinkedIn
  • Twitter
Subscribe

Powered by

Contrary

© 2026 Contrary Research · All rights reserved

|Privacy Policy
Report/
Perspective
Future of WorkAdvanced Manufacturing

America's Missing Manufacturing Workforce

April 22, 2023|3 min

A perspective from Contrary Research.

Dot-grid line chart: a grey line climbs away from a flat blue line, the gap shaded
  • Perspective
  • Authors1
  • Related Companies4

In the United States, manufacturing accounts for $2.3 trillion in GDP and employs 12 million people. It represents 11% of the US GDP and contributes disproportionately to the national economy: accounting for 20% of capital investment, 35% of productivity growth, 60% of exports, and 70% of business R&D spending.

However, there is an increasing shortage of labor across manufacturing sectors. For example, America is a world leader in cutting-edge chip design, but its share of global semiconductor manufacturing has declined from 37% in 1990 to about 12% in 2021. Given the importance of chips to the economy and to national security, the White House and Congress have made a big push for onshore high-end chip manufacturing. Yet producing chips in the US still takes 25% longer and costs nearly 50% more than in Asia. One study found that 300K more skilled laborers may be needed to complete US fab projects underway. Part of the reason for this shortage is that the number of US students pursuing advanced degrees in the field has been stagnant for the past 30 years. Many international students are enrolled in relevant programs at US schools, but current policy makes it difficult for them to stay and work in the US. As a result, new plants planned by Intel and TSMC need help finding qualified workers. What’s more, this skilled labor shortage isn’t limited to semiconductor manufacturing.

The construction industry has similar issues; it will need to attract an estimated 546K additional workers on top of the normal pace of hiring in 2023 to meet the demand for labor. Elsewhere, there has long been a disconnect between the secular growth of online commerce and the infrastructure that supports it. As a result, labor shortages of warehouse staff have never been more extreme. The warehousing industry ranks among the lowest in terms of workers’ average hourly wage, and warehouse operators consistently cite hiring and attrition as the top challenge facing their business. As a result, many of the warehouses and third-party logistics providers responsible for receiving, shipping, and sorting items that customers order online need to implement more automation to keep pace with accelerating demand.

Automation may be the most promising solution to these labor shortage issues. Robotic systems can automate repetitive tasks typically done by humans, reducing recruitment and labor costs. Depending on the cost of labor, these systems generally pay for themselves quickly. Moreover, they can help reduce employee turnover and training costs while taking on repeated, laborious tasks with no breaks. Robots can also carry heavy loads and reduce issues related to lifting and repetitive motion injuries for manufacturing workers. In addition, robotic automation increases quality and repeatability and reduces waste. There are ample opportunities for startups like Locus Robotics to build robotic solutions to complement existing labor across manufacturing and other industries, and in doing so help shore up a major piece of the US economy.

Authors

  • Kyle Harrison

    General Partner @ Contrary

    See articles

Important Disclosures

This material has been distributed solely for informational and educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or to participate in any trading strategy. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy, adequacy, or completeness cannot be guaranteed, and Contrary LLC (Contrary LLC, together with its affiliates, “Contrary”) makes no representation as to its accuracy, adequacy, or completeness.

The information herein is based on Contrary beliefs, as well as certain assumptions regarding future events based on information available to Contrary on a formal and informal basis as of the date of this publication. The material may include projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events, targets or expectations. Past performance of a company is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein will be realized. Actual experience may not reflect all of these opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary.

Contrary shall have no responsibility for: (i) determining that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein is suitable for any particular reader; (ii) monitoring whether any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein continues to be suitable for any reader; or (iii) tailoring any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein to any particular reader’s objectives, guidelines, or restrictions. Receipt of this material does not, by itself, imply that Contrary has an advisory agreement, oral or otherwise, with any reader.

Contrary is registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. The registration of Contrary in no way implies a certain level of skill or expertise or that the SEC has endorsed Contrary. Investment decisions for Contrary clients are made by Contrary. Please note that, although Contrary manages assets on behalf of Contrary clients, Contrary clients may take any position (whether positive or negative) with respect to the company described in this material. The information provided in this material does not represent any investment strategy that Contrary manages on behalf of, or recommends to, its clients.

Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, company or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this material, will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security of the company discussed in this presentation.

Please see www.contrary.com/legal for additional important information.

Authors

  • Kyle Harrison

    General Partner @ Contrary

    Kyle Harrison is a General Partner at Contrary where he’s invested in companies like Anduril, Ramp, Base Power, Valar Atomics, and Cursor, and is the Founder of Contrary Research. Over the past decade, Kyle has spent time as a partner at Index Ventures and Coatue investing in companies like Databricks, Snowflake, Plaid, Toast, and Persona.

    See articles

Related Companies

All companies
  • Hadrian logo
    Advanced ManufacturingSeries C
    Advanced ManufacturingSeries C

    Hadrian

    Hadrian is a manufacturing company that has built vertically integrated technology for high-precision manufacturing, with modules including quoting, programming, machining, and inspection.

    1 PerspectiveMemo
  • Locus Robotics logo
    Robotics & AutomationSeries F
    Robotics & AutomationSeries F

    Locus Robotics

    Locus Robotics is a flexible robotic warehouse automation company that provides autonomous mobile robots that work directly with warehouse associates by assisting in locating, identifying, and picking items during the fulfillment process and reducing the time each task requires.

    1 PerspectiveMemo
  • Lumafield logo
    Advanced ManufacturingSeries B
    Advanced ManufacturingSeries B

    Lumafield

    Lumafield provides low-cost industrial CT scanners called Neptune and Triton, and a companion browser-based CT analysis system called Voyager.

    1 PerspectiveMemo
  • Defense SystemsSeries C
    Defense SystemsSeries C

    Forterra

    Forterra provides an ecosystem of hardware and software products that enable third-party ground vehicles to operate autonomously off-road.

    1 PerspectiveMemo

Subscribe to the Research Rundown

Subscribe for a weekly digest on the best private technology companies.