The US industrial base saw massive build-up during WWII, with many considering this capability to be a key turning point in winning the war. That capability also enabled the US to become responsible for 40% of global manufacturing by the 1950s. But not much has changed about aerospace and defense manufacturing since then.
The US defense industrial base is dependent on thousands of “mom and pop” machine shops, representing more than $60 billion of spend. But the age of the average machine shop operator is 63 years old. As a generation of these operators retire we could see a collapse of the industrial base in the US.
And this collapse couldn’t come at a worse time. We’re in the midst of both a Space Race 2.0 and an industrial boom that hasn’t been seen in decades. Funding for space startups in 2023 was $17.9 billion, with the total value of space companies exceeding $4 trillion. With SpaceX’s enabling innovation around reusable rockets, the cost of launches has plummeted. That has created a massive opportunity for dozens of industrial categories to operate more in space.
But with the explosion in demand for precision manufacturing from space, aerospace, and defense, the existing industrial base just doesn’t have the flexibility to meet it.
That’s where Hadrian comes in. Hadrian is a manufacturing company that has built vertically integrated technology for high-precision manufacturing, with modules including quoting, programming, machining, and inspection. Hadrian’s goal is to build factories to accelerate the pace of American manufacturing by delivering parts in ”less time, on time.” The way they do this is by building a semi-automated approach to manufacturing, effectively building “five software companies and a robotics company” internally.
Over the last month, Contrary Research has gone deep on Hadrian’s business. This includes a 12K+ word deep dive on the company’s evolution as well as an hour-long conversation with Chris Power, CEO and founder of Hadrian.
Important Disclosures
This material has been distributed solely for informational and educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or to participate in any trading strategy. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy, adequacy, or completeness cannot be guaranteed, and Contrary LLC (Contrary LLC, together with its affiliates, “Contrary”) makes no representation as to its accuracy, adequacy, or completeness.
The information herein is based on Contrary beliefs, as well as certain assumptions regarding future events based on information available to Contrary on a formal and informal basis as of the date of this publication. The material may include projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events, targets or expectations. Past performance of a company is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein will be realized. Actual experience may not reflect all of these opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary.
Contrary shall have no responsibility for: (i) determining that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein is suitable for any particular reader; (ii) monitoring whether any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein continues to be suitable for any reader; or (iii) tailoring any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein to any particular reader’s objectives, guidelines, or restrictions. Receipt of this material does not, by itself, imply that Contrary has an advisory agreement, oral or otherwise, with any reader.
Contrary is registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. The registration of Contrary in no way implies a certain level of skill or expertise or that the SEC has endorsed Contrary. Investment decisions for Contrary clients are made by Contrary. Please note that, although Contrary manages assets on behalf of Contrary clients, Contrary clients may take any position (whether positive or negative) with respect to the company described in this material. The information provided in this material does not represent any investment strategy that Contrary manages on behalf of, or recommends to, its clients.
Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, company or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this material, will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security of the company discussed in this presentation.
Please see www.contrary.com/legal for additional important information.